LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers both come into this Saturdays match with statement victories.
LSU went to Texas and defeat the Longhorns in week 2. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. However, in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, the two teams look to take more than a spot in the race .
Floridas defense leads the way in their opinion. Theyve given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and havent given up a point from the 4th quarter because their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered as he went 11 with three INTs into creating decisions that were several a week.
But Joe Burrow isnt Nix. He is a veteran quarterback, and it has led LSU to the best offensive start in SEC history. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in college soccer. This contains the 45 they dropped on the street on Texas.
Together with Death Valley awaitings roar , the Gators come in as underdogs on BetNow. Can the No. cover the spread and 5 defense keep this near? Or will Burrow and the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling up and also win the wager? Here is the breakdown.
Theres very little uncertainty in Burrows ability . He has transformed to a Heisman candidate, acquiring an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the very best getting teams in the nation. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame and has dominated in some huge games. Chase is a physical presence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal who will fill the spot. It is all a part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the roughest DB unit theyve played with all season. Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt composed by the additional opponents of LSU: Utah State 103rd, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Georgia Southern 111th.
Florida sits in 33rd, though its safe to say they have yet to perform a QB of Burrows caliber. Theyve played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American whos living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis creates a bunch of havoc at the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on irregular so far in the other corner spot, but has a high ceiling.
Burrow will face a menacing pass-rush, which will be healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami about the opening week. Jabari Zuniga, thought to function as very best is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate in their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though the QB must enhance his consciousness in the pocket, he has to get flustered by an opposing lineup. Auburns according is arguably the best in the nation, and ranks 11th in defensive line yards to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and is now 85th in sack speed. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask his game off. Even the Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not outside of it. He also sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the game.
Together with all the LBs more involved from the pass-rush, All-American security Grant Delpit needs to develop big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is regarded as DBU for the talent they possess on the perimeter of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances which should land him on the All-Freshman group, or even longer, in 2019.
On the other side of him will be Kristian Fulton, that allowed the smallest sum of first downs out of returning FBS corners. Although this group is now 69th in passing yards allowed per-game, it will be given an opportunity against a pressured Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as for Florida, that has not got their running game going yet. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the point on his approach . Despite this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also is currently going up against the No. 1 d-line concerning energy success (short-yardage scenarios ).
While the LSU front might not be powerful. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the floor, and thats including Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep that shut from the Kentucky game.
When they dont get Perine or Dameon Pierce going it puts ways too much pressure on Trask at a hostile environment.
Florida has earned respect from the college football world. And while I dont expect them to come out from Death Valley with a win from LSU, I really do see this sport remaining most.
LSUs offense made incredible strides, also Burrow is one of the more smart QBs from the FBS. But LSU isnt likely to install 45 or anything near this against a defense who is proven at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
The Gators defense will probably wear out over time, since the staff has relied upon them. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject from the physiological Chase or Jefferson to a PIs.
However, I do not expect this till late in the fourth quarter. Keeping the game in enough of a slog till then makes Florida the proper wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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