NASCAR at Phoenix betting odds, props, key stats to help bettors win TicketGuardian 500

After back-to-back Team Penske wins, NASCAR heads to ISM Raceway’s one-mile horizontal track in Phoenix for the fourth race of the season.

Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are driving streaks of eight top-12 endings dating back to last season, but both drivers are going to take a backseat to the recent dominating performances of Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch in Phoenix.

Harvick (9/4) and Busch (7/2) have the shortest odds to win Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 and won at the course last season. This weekend, even if Harvick were to triumph, he would join an elite team, becoming only the sixth driver in series history to win 10 or even more Cup Series races at a single track; joining Richard Petty, Darrell Waltrip, Jimmie Johnson, David Pearson and Dale Earnhardt.

MORE: Odds to win 2019 NASCAR Cup Series championship

In three of the previous four Phoenix races, Busch has headed 359 laps, including 117 in his win during last year’s playoffs — the first under the new arrangement of the track.

Phoenix’s monitor is comparable to Richmond and New Hampshire and it’s no surprise both Harvick and Busch have had similar success at those racks. Busch has won the previous two races at Richmond and 2017’s fall race in New Hampshire. Harvick won the most-recent race in New Hampshire and has finished in the top five in five of the previous six races at Richmond.

But unlike in those previous races, all motorists will use a new car installment executed by NASCAR, one different from what we watched the last fourteen days in Atlanta and Las Vegas. Teams may utilize a spacer — without a ducts that are aero — for the first time. They’ll use a engine in Phoenix instead of their engine in Vegas. NASCAR hopes to see a car using a response time around the throttle. The new package could close the gap Busch and Harvick have experienced on the area.

So much in two races with the slightly differing rules package of NASCAR, Ford has five period wins and has led 65 percent of the laps. Ford driver Aric Almirola, Harvick’s teammate, will soon be a sleeper motorist to watch this weekend. He was third at New Hampshire’s similar design last season, fifth at Richmond and fourth last year’s fall race at Phoenix. Almirola is 20/1 to win on Sunday and he is liked by us in a matchup with Kyle Larson at -110.

MORE: The way to Succeed betting on NASCAR at 2019

Curious to win 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in Phoenix

Odds Supplied by Westgate LV SuperBook

Kevin HARVICK 9/4
Kyle BUSCH 7/2
Brad KESELOWSKI 7/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 10/1
Chase ELLIOTT 10/1
Denny HAMLIN 15/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Clint BOWYER 25/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Ryan BLANEY 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 50/1
Austin DILLON 50/1
Alex BOWMAN 50/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 50/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Daniel HEMRIC 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
Ryan PREECE 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 200/1
Matt DIBENEDETTO 200/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (others) 500/1

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