NASCAR at Bristol odds, key stats, bets to consider: Finding value in matchup props

After a weekend at Texas, NASCAR heads to Bristol Motor Speedway to the 2019 Cup Series season’s eighth race.

Sunday’s 500-lap Food City 500 marks the next race onto a half-mile monitor this season, but Bristol’s unique concrete layout with steep banking is more similar to Dover’s one-mile track than Martinsville. Kevin Harvick, kyle Busch and Chase Elliott have graced victory lane the 3 races.

Busch is currently Sunday’s race favorite in 5/2 odds in the Westgate SuperBook, together with Harvick and Elliott priced at 12/1 and 14/1, respectively. Busch, who has finished in the top 10 in each of NASCAR’s seven races this season, leads active drivers with seven wins at Bristol. Busch has listed 10 top-five and 15 top-10 finishes in 27 starts at the track.

Even though Busch is hot this season, Harvick isn’t, especially with his lofty standards. He’s led only 133 laps throughout seven races — and he has led laps in two races. He has led only 22 laps over the past four races there but has finished within the top 10.

Considering the stiff gambling matchups oddsmakers have Harvick in –from Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano and Kyle Larson — it is tough to trust Harvick together with the rules package being used this week.

Recent results, rules bundle

In Bristol, the Cup Series will operate the 2019 rules package tailored for quick tracks (less than 1.33 miles) and road classes. A 1.17-inch tapered spacer is going to be used, with engines expected to generate about 750 horsepower. No aero ducts will be used. This weekend’s configuration of the 2019 rules package is going to be used at 14 events in total this season. The 1.17-inch tapered spacer was first utilized this season at 1-mile ISM Raceway on March 10 at Phoenix in a race won by Kyle Busch.

Recent Bristol winners
2018 Fall: Kurt Busch
2018 Spring: Kyle Busch
2017 Fall: Kyle Busch
2017 Spring: Jimmie Johnson

Recent Dover winners
2018 Fall: Chase Elliott
2018 Spring: Kevin Harvick
2017 Fall: Kyle Busch
2017 Spring: Jimmie Johnson

MORE: Odds

Curious to win 2019 Food City 500 in Bristol

Odds Supplied by Westgate

Kyle BUSCH 5/2
Kyle LARSON 7/1
Brad KESELOWSKI 8/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Kevin HARVICK 12/1
Ryan BLANEY 12/1
Denny HAMLIN 14/1
Erik JONES 14/1
Kurt BUSCH 14/1
Martin TRUEX JR 14/1
Clint BOWYER 14/1
Chase ELLIOTT 14/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 25/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 25/1
Alex BOWMAN 60/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Austin DILLON 80/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 200/1
Matt DIBENEDETTO 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 300/1
Daniel HEMRIC 300/1
Ryan PREECE 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 1000/1
David RAGAN 5000/1
FIELD (others) 1000/1

Read more: sportspriority.com